Sticky shelter prices make Fed's 2% inflation target hard to reach

Jul 11, 2024
Housing costs rose 5.2% in June from a year earlier, pulling up the consumer price index.
Housing is in a supply crunch, which is keeping costs high and inflation from dropping further. But that doesn't mean the Fed won't cut rates.
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How does the cost of housing figure into the consumer price index? It's complicated.

Jun 14, 2024
Owners' equivalent rent measures the market cost of living in a home — which is a bit different from how much we actually spend on housing.
The cost of housing makes up more than a third of the CPI.
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Why is the Fed still so cautious about interest rates?

Jun 13, 2024
Despite the CPI coming in unexpectedly low, the Federal Reserve needs more convincing that inflation is really getting better.
"Consumers change their buying habits, they move from steak to chicken, from the upper shelf down to the lower shelf," said Dan North with Allianz Trade about inflation.
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In April, grocery store prices were flat — or even lower

May 15, 2024
Consumers tend to be very sensitive to food costs. Fresh edibles like fruit, vegetables and meat saw substantial declines.
The prices of fresh food like fruit, vegetables and meat saw some of the biggest decreases.
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Why isn't the cost of borrowing money included in the consumer price index?

May 15, 2024
Loans are a big cost, but they would muddle the data in the CPI. Fed rate hikes would essentially create inflation, despite their intention.
Borrowing is a major expense for many Americans. One example is the interest on car loans.
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The federal government's inflation measures can feel ... wrong. How accurate are they?

Apr 30, 2024
CPI and PCE can both seem to be out of step with consumers' experience.
The CPI and PCE each have their own basket of goods and services they keep an eye on to determine how inflation is doing.
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Electricity bills could hit your pocketbook even more this summer

Apr 10, 2024
The Energy Information Association expects electricity demand to rise by 4% this summer, anticipating that it’ll be even hotter than last year.
The EIA expects electricity demand to rise by 4% this summer, anticipating that it’ll be even hotter than last year. Many people will likely be running their ACs more to cope with the heat.
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For public good, not for profit.

Import prices rose more slowly in February. That could help bring down inflation.

Mar 15, 2024
The Labor Department reported that the price of imported goods rose 0.3% in February compared to 0.8% the month before.
Prices at the import level can affect prices that show up in other inflation data.
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Inflation falls, but not as much as expected

Feb 13, 2024
The CPI rose 3.1% in January compared to a year ago.
A major factor in core inflation is shelter costs. But the way the CPI calculates rent lags a bit behind current rent prices.
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When an item costs more but you still need it? That's "inelastic demand."

Feb 13, 2024
Despite inflation, people still buy as much food, medicine, gasoline — even coffee.
The price of baby food and formula is up 8.7% year over year, according to the latest CPI.
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